Our Infallible, Sure-Thing 2011 Oscar Predictions
Around these parts we love movies. The problem is none of us get out to theater all that often any more. Back in the first 4-5 years of when my wife and I were dating it seemed like all we did every weekend was go see every movie that came out. It didn’t matter who was in it or what it was about, we had all the free time in the world (and more disposable income) so we just watched everything. Now if we want to go out and see something it’s a special treat that practically has to be scheduled, and we don’t even have kids yet. I know my fellow PGMers are pretty much in the same boat and you’d think all this would stop us from weighing in with our opinions on who is absolutely, positively going to win the most self-congratulating awards in the most closed-off, clueless mess of an “industry” in the world.
And you’d be totally wrong.
To compile our list of winners I went to the offices of Price Waterhouse and stole the list sent out an email to my wife Linda, Dan and Amanda and Ryan and Joanne asking them all for their individual predictions. It’s a proven scientific fact that when the six of us put our minds together to predict winners for entertainment award shows that we always end up with a list of perfect predictions. See our history of amazingly perfect scores here: [this space intentionally left blank and un-hyperlinked].
Get your office pool scorecard ready and hit the jump to see who IS going to win a golden statue on Sunday night!
BEST PICTURE:
- Black Swan
- The Fighter
- Inception
- The Kids Are All Right
- The King’s Speech
- 127 Hours
- The Social Network
- Toy Story 3
- True Grit
- Winter’s Bone
PGM Says: The King’s Speech
Royalty stammers, PGM swoons.
DIRECTING:
- Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
- David O. Russell, The Fighter
- Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
- David Fincher, The Social Network
- Joel and Ethan Coen, True Grit
PGM Says: David Fincher
Yeah, we separated Picture and Director. So what?
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:
- Javier Bardem, Biutiful
- Jeff Bridges, True Grit
- Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
- Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
- James Franco, 127 Hours
PGM Says: Colin Firth
Seriously, who doesn’t love this guy?
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE:
- Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
- Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
- Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
- Natalie Portman, Black Swan
- Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine
PGM Says: Natalie Portman
She made out with Mila Kunis and dance around all pretty-like. There was something for everyone.
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
- Christian Bale, The Fighter
- John Hawks, Winter’s Bone
- Jeremy Renner, The Town
- Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech
- Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
PGM Says: Christian Bale
He’s a fucking professional, man.
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
- Amy Adams, The Fighter
- Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
- Melissa Leo, The Fighter
- Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
- Jackie Weaver, Animal Kingdom
PGM Says: Hailee Steinfeld
It ’twas a performance with grit. (sorry)
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
- 127 Hours (Fox Searchlight), Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
- The Social Network (Sony Pictures Releasing), Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
- Toy Story 3 (Walt Disney), Screenplay by Michael Arndt. Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
- True Grit (Paramount), Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
- Winter’s Bone (Roadside Attractions), Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini
PGM Says: The Social Network
I wrote this while walking and talking quickly.
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
- Another Year (Sony Pictures Classics), Written by Mike Leigh
- The Fighter (Paramount), Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson. Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
- Inception (Warner Bros.), Written by Christopher Nolan
- The Kids Are All Right (Focus Features), Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
- The King’s Speech (The Weinstein Company), Screenplay by David Seidler
PGM Says: The King’s Speech
Mostly for being a prequel to The Queen.
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
- Biutiful
- Dogtooth
- In a Better World
- Incendies
- Outside the Law
PGM Says: Incendies
As Dan said in his email response to this poll: “Canada REPRESENT!”
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
- How to Train Your Dragon
- The Illusionist
- Toy Story 3
PGM Says: Toy Story 3
I’m not gonna cry while writing this. Seriously. I’m not…aw dammit. *sniff*
CINEMATOGRAPHY:
- Black Swan (Fox Searchlight) Matthew Libatique
- Inception (Warner Bros.) Wally Pfister
- The King’s Speech (The Weinstein Company) Danny Cohen
- The Social Network (Sony Pictures Releasing) Jeff Cronenweth
- True Grit (Paramount) Roger Deakins
PGM Says: Inception
Because of the tilt shift sequenBWAAAAAHHHHHMMMMM INCEPTION!
FILM EDITING:
- Black Swan (Fox Searchlight) Andrew Weisblum
- The Fighter Paramount Pamela Martin
- The King’s Speech (The Weinstein Company) Tariq Anwar
- 127 Hours (Fox Searchlight) Jon Harris
- The Social Network (Sony Pictures Releasing) Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter
PGM Says: Black Swan
I don’t know if you this or not but Natalie Portman and Mila Kunis totally made out in this movie.
DOCUMENTARY:
- Exit through the Gift Shop (Producers Distribution Agency) Banksy and Jaimie D’Cruz A Paranoid Pictures Production
- Gasland Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic A Gasland Production
- Inside Job (Sony Pictures Classics) Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs A Representational Pictures Production
- Restrepo (National Geographic Entertainment) Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger An Outpost Films Production
- Waste Land Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley (Arthouse Films) An Almega Projects Production
PGM Says: Exit Through The Gift Shop
Seriously, who DOESN’T want an acceptance speech from Banksy?
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT:
- Killing in the Name (dir: Jed Rothstein)
- Poster Girl (dir: Sara Nesson)
- Strangers No More (dir: Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon)
- Sun Come Up (dir: Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger)
- The Warriors of Qiugang (dir: Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon)
PGM Says: Killing in the Name
Because who doesn’t love that Rage song?
ORIGINAL SCORE:
- How to Train Your Dragon (Paramount) John Powell
- Inception (Warner Bros.) Hans Zimmer
- The King’s Speech (The Weinstein Company) Alexandre Desplat
- 127 Hours (Fox Searchlight) A.R. Rahman
- The Social Network (Sony Pictures Releasing) Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
PGM Says: The Social Network
Give Trent Reznor an award just for making something that’s better to listen to than Ghosts I-IV.
ORIGINAL SONG:
- Coming Home from Country Strong (Sony Pictures Releasing (Screen Gems)) Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
- I See the Light from Tangled (Walt Disney) Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater
- If I Rise from 127 Hours (Fox Searchlight) Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
- We Belong Together from Toy Story 3 (Walt Disney) Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
PGM Says: “If I Rise” from 127 Hours
Just because no one realized Dido was still alive.
VISUAL EFFECTS:
- Alice in Wonderland (Walt Disney) Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (Warner Bros.) Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi
- Hereafter (Warner Bros.) Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojanski and Joe Farrell
- Inception (Warner Bros.) Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
- Iron Man 2 (Paramount and Marvel Entertainment, Distributed by Paramount) Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick
PGM Says: Inception
Did you see the hotel hallway fight scene? DID YOU SEE THAT?
ART DIRECTION:
- Alice in Wonderland (Walt Disney), Robert Stromberg (Production Design), Karen O’Hara (Set Decoration)
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (Warner Bros.), Stuart Craig (Production Design), Stephenie McMillan (Set Decoration)
- Inception (Warner Bros.), Guy Hendrix Dyas (Production Design), Larry Dias and Doug Mowat (Set Decoration)/span>
- The King’s Speech (Paramount), Eve Stewart (Production Design), Judy Farr (Set Decoration)
- True Grit (Paramount), Jess Gonchor (Production Design), Nancy Haigh (Set Decoration)
PGM Says: Alice In Wonderland
Tim Burton: set designer first, director second.
COSTUME DESIGN:
- Alice in Wonderland (Walt Disney) Colleen Atwood
- I Am Love (Magnolia Pictures) Antonella Cannarozzi
- The King’s Speech (The Weinstein Company) Jenny Beavan
- The Tempest (Miramax) Sandy Powell
- True Grit (Paramount) Mary Zophres
PGM Says: Alice In Wonderland
Yes, this movie will wind up with more Oscars than Toy Story 3.
MAKEUP:
- Barney’s Version, Adrien Morot
- The Way Back, Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
- The Wolfman, Rick Baker and Dave Elsey
PGM Says: The Wolfman
Yes, this movie will end up with the same amount of Oscars as Toy Story 3.
SHORT FILM, ANIMATED:
- Day & Night (dir: Teddy Newton)
- The Gruffalo (dir: Jakob Schuh and Max Lang)
- Let’s Pollute (dir: Geefwee Boedoe)
- The Lost Thing (dir: Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann)
- Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)
PGM Says: Day & Night
It’s Pixar.
SHORT FILM, LIVE ACTION:
- The Confession (dir: Tanel Toom)
- The Crush (dir: Michael Creagh)
- God of Love (dir: Luke Matheny)
- Na Wewe (dir: Ivan Goldschmidt)
- Wish 143 (dir: Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite)
PGM Says: Na Wewe
The short with the goofiest title.
SOUND EDITING:
- Inception, Richard King
- Toy Story 3, Tom Myers and Michael Silvers
- Tron: Legacy, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
- True Grit, Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey
- Unstoppable, Mark P. Stoeckinger
PGM Says: Inception
Tech awards!
SOUND MIXING:
- Inception, Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
- The King’s Speech, Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
- Salt, Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
- The Social Network, Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
- True Grit, Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland
PGM Says: Inception
More tech awards!
So there you have it. Make sure to check back on Monday so we can provide you an address to send us our share of your winnings from using our predictions.



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